Maybe it’s a case of wishful thinking, but my hunch is Kamala Harris is going to pull this one out today. Donald Trump outperformed the polls in 2016 and 2020 – and he may yet do it again this year. But I think women are going to put Harris over the top, as suggested by the recent Selzer/Iowa poll. Latino anger over third-rate comic Tony Hinchcliffe’s first-rate racist comments could also help Harris, or so I hope. .… 

Update – 11-5-24 – I liked these lines in a NYT piece on what could happen today and this week: “If Kamala Harris wins big, we should have seen it coming all along. … If Mr. Trump wins big, we should have seen it coming all along.”