U.S. Sen. Ed Markey can brag all he wants about how his huge win yesterday was a “testament to the power of the progressive movement.” That may be true in his Dem primary race. But not so true in most other state races yesterday, as old-time Dem incumbents like Steve Lynch and Richard Neal beat back progressive challengers. Even a young-one establishment type brushed aside progressives/socialists yesterday to easily win in the 6th Congressional (see Dan Koh below). All in all, there was no huge generational/ideological shift last night in Mass., keeping the state deep blue as opposed to loony left. The AARP Establishment held.
Here’s a few other post-primary thoughts:
— Polling accuracy, for a change — After major polling screw ups in Wisconsin and Michigan, the polls were right on target in the U.S. Senate and GOP gubernatorial contests yesterday in Mass. – to Seth Moulton’s chagrin. The NYT’s Reid Epstein noticed the same thing.
— Wu’s mixed power messages – The mayor wanted to send a message to local Dems in yesterday’s primaries: don’t cross me on key issues on Beacon Hill. But her Trump-like dominance strategy didn’t work so well yesterday, as state Sen. Nick Collins easily fended off a Wu-backed challenger.
Yet, state Sen. Bill Brownsberger, another Dem targeted by Wu, was in a too-close-to-call race as of this morning. Whether Brownsberger wins or loses, Wu did put a scare into him, serving notice to other would-be Dem defiers that she can at least make life miserable for them come election time. … The Globe’s James Pindell agrees: Wu lost but also won.
— Dan Koh, New Establishment – Dan Koh’s long quest to become a full-time politician finally succeeded yesterday in the 6th Congressional race, thanks partly to uber-establishment help from the likes of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Marty Walsh etc. Koh’s classic student-government-type resume practically shouts establishment — Phillips Academy, Harvard University, White House aide, etc.
— Rachael Rollins: maybe next time – Rachael Rollins’s comeback effort failed yesterday, as incumbent Kevin Hayden somewhat easily won the Dem race for Suffolk DA. But remember: Rollins isn’t the type to simply fade away, even if voters tell her to go away. Unfortunately, she’ll probably be back. State legislature?
— Neal’s lucky win – The DUI leak hurt Jeromie Whalen. Perhap not a lot. But probably enough to make a close race against Richard Neal only a somewhat close race yesterday. Neal was lucky. Or was it just old-fashioned hardball politics that gave him the edge?
Update – David Bernstein has a good analysis piece at the Globe: “Moulton doesn’t deserve the hate.” The same piece, with a different headline, is available at his Substack site.
Update III – 9.3.26 — This is interesting. Lynch, a South Boston native and son of an ironworker, actually lost in Boston, but retained his seat via strong support in Quincy, Weymouth, Brockton and Braintree. MassLive has more.
Alerting me to this Globe story about Andrew Flynn’s decision to nix his plan for a 26-story tower in Davis Square and knowing how much I hated the project, a reader asked in an email: ‘Hubblog pops Champagne?’ Well, that’s not a bad idea. Or maybe a beer at The Burren? … Btw: It’s not all about the Burren. Equally important is that McKinnon’s Meat Market has been saved too. … B&T and WBUR have more on Davis Square’s salvation. … Btw II, the reader above added this note to his email: “I know we need the housing… (but) there’s got to be a better way than what was proposed.”
A Hub Blog reader sends in some final thoughts on today’s Mass. primary elections (and, btw, I don’t agree Dan Koh is Moulton’s likely successor):
I will not miss local news being jammed up with campaign commercials, but will share some personal highlights:
– Seth Moulton likely successor Dan Koh – has anyone else in the USA run an ad containing endorsements from both Joe Biden and Kamala Harris? Only in Massachusetts! (Well, maybe also the District of Columbia).
– The “he’s too old” PAC daggers came out for Markey yesterday… way too late and by the way how many of the ‘New Generation of Leaders’ could tell us what models of Claude or ChatGPT or Llama or Gemini is running on *their* iPads and iPhones? What exactly makes that an important qualification for The New Generation of Leaders?
— Moulton-Markey was in some ways the exception proving the rule about 2026 election cycle and younger Democrats. Markey had all the younger candidate issues tied up already – his ad with Sanders, Warren and Presley essentially ended the primary. It helps that Mass. is Resistance Central and has some factors that make it particularly so (in particular, reduction in federal education funding). Moulton really did not do anything to stand out.
— Shortsleeve came up strong at the end on the Republican side IMHO. I think Governor Healy will dispatch Mike Minogue with some ease in ways that Shortsleeve would have made more difficult. Oh well…
— Speaking of Minogue, the Globe turned in perhaps the most ridiculous “Experts Say” headline of the decade, and that is an accomplishment:
Meanwhile, the Globe’s Marcela Garcia has a good piece on four races she’s closely watching today, a few of which I should have mentioned last week.
As Rolling Stone’s Bob Sheffield notes, rock & roll memoirs have a way of following the same garage-band-to-world-fame plot, starting with the big dreams, then “the sleazy bars, the cheap motels, the shady managers” and finally the hard-earned stardom mixed with lots of sex, drugs and incessant band infighting etc. Michael Campbell’s terrific “Heartbreaker: A Memoir,” which I just finished reading, follows roughly the same trajectory, chronicling the rise-fall-and-rise of Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers.
But Campbell, the Heartbreakers’s legendary lead guitarist and co-writer of many of the band’s hit songs (as well as other non-Heartbreaker hits), offers so much more than rock & roll cliches. His memoir is genuinely kind-hearted, perceptive and honest. It’s not a tell-all per se, but it is candid about Tom Petty’s many faults, as well as the faults and foibles of himself and others. There’s a surprising page-turner drama to the book, as Petty et gang struggle to overcome the latest industry/personal/creative challenge facing the band. The book is also gossipy in a good way, dropping fun stories about Bob Dylan, George Harrison, Stevie Nix, Dan Henley etc. A huge plus: even non-musicians like myself can follow Campbell’s creative thought process as he describes writing new songs, strumming on his guitar and working out things in his mind before handing tapes over to Petty (or Henley etc.).
Like the person who originally recommend the book to me, I’m not a big “rock & roll-genre” reader (though I have a soft spot for rock documentaries). Nor was I a big Tom Petty fan heading into this book. But after reading Campbell’s highly recommend memoir, I guess I can say I’m now a big fan of both. Suggestions for future rock-memoir reading are welcome.
Btw – From another friend who also read ‘Heartbreaker’:
I loved the book. Big takeaways:
– TP was not a great person other than with his idols, fans and press. (See the 1982 pay-raise discussion in the memoir).
– The Don Henley/Boys of Summer story is just awesome… loved it. Heard the song in a new way.
– TP accepted as a peer by those he idolized is an incredible story… so sorry for his sudden passing, almost 10 years!
There are lots of helpful primary-election summaries out there, via GBH, Herald,Globe etc. But none as piercingly non-objective as Hub Blog’s ‘Six primaries to watch.’ So here goes, before next Tuesday’s progressive/socialist onslaught possibly pushes Massachusetts from deep-blue state to loony left territory.
Wu’s Trump dominance strategy – Like the big guy in the White House, Mayor Wu wants to use the primaries to establish her dominance, punishing perceived intraparty enemies and serving notice to others to stay in line. So she’s going after two Dem state Senators — Will Brownsberger and Nick Collins – who had the nerve to oppose her property-tax plans on Beacon Hill. … I do get a kick out of Brownsberger’s opponent, Eric ‘Thanks Dad’ Lander, who’s trying to out progressive a progressive while tapping into his dad’s network of capitalist friends for funds, as the Globe reports. … GBH has more on the race. And the Herald has more on the Collins-Latoya Gayle race, which hasn’t been as exciting as I had once hoped and expected.
Rollins comeback? – Hub Blog initially put the odds of ethically challenged Rachael Rollins winning back her Suffolk DA seat at 50-50. But I’ve since revised her odds down to 30-70, due to the signature snafu and other missteps that may yet land her in more legal problems. … Still, she can win this one against incumbent Kevin Hayden, who has to be one of the more boring candidates around. But he did get sufficiently nasty the other week, as the Herald reports.
The Big Dud: Markey vs. Moulton — Let’s face it: The Markey-Moulton race for U.S. Senate has been a disappointing dud, a big yawn with little to no umph or controversy. (Sorry, the iPad crack barely counts as a gaffe.) As previously noted, Seth Moulton needs a mini polls-are-wrong miracle to win on Tuesday. If he doesn’t pull it off, he has mostly himself to blame. He made a good case for voting against the geriatric Ed Markey, but he never gave voters a good reason to vote for him, as Charlotte Alter wrote in a sort of pre-primary advance postmortem at the Times.
Another Neal opponent mysteriously tripped up – The 1stCongressonal Dem primary race was barely on the Hub Blog radar until the NY Post (yes, the Post) came out with a well-timed DUI hit piece on Rep. Richard Neal’s latest to-his-left opponent, Jeromie Whalen, who’s now crying foul. And then all of a sudden the race has gotten interesting. … Btw: Neal’s campaign said it had nothing to do with the DUI leak. You see, a Post reporter just happened to be visiting the Osceola County, Florida, courthouse when he noticed that a case file that was supposed to be sealed wasn’t sealed and so …I still give Whalen a decent chance of knocking off Neal. It’s just one of those years.
Oldie vs Newbie– Here’s another Congressional race pitting a long-time Dem incumbent, this time Steve Lynch, against a hungry young one, Patrick Roach. And it’s another of those races where an upset is possible, theoretically, considering all that’s happened this year in Dem primaries around the country. My hunch on a winner (and centrist preference): Lynch.
Misc. races – I guess I’m supposed to be excited about the open Seth Moulton 6th Congressional seat that six candidates are now vying to fill. But I’m not excited. Sorry. Still, the contest bears watching, with two DSA types lurking in the background and hoping for a surprise win that would land them some brief national attention. … Meanwhile, the Mass. GOP gubernatorial primary has been quiet, if only because Mike Minogue has long thought to have locked up the nomination, based on polls and his big party convention win. But it would be nice to see Brian Shortsleeve do well. We need contested primaries, not coronations, and Shortsleeve deserves credit for sticking it out to the end. Shortsleeve is also admirably more moderate than Minogue, something the Globe pointed out in its recent endorsement of Shortsleeve.
Update — 8.31.26 — Maybe Lynch is more vulnerable that I thought. From the Globe: “David Hogg wants to oust sitting Democrats. The 8th District — and its incumbent Stephen Lynch — may be his biggest target.”
At the Herald, we used to call it the “full Herald treatment,” i.e. pumping a story up by splashing it across the front page, accompanied by a damning inside sidebar, a no-prisoners pummeling by a columnist (usually Howie Carr), a well-timed indignant editorial, etc., and the relentless bombardment could last for days. Some would tut-tut the well-choreographed full-treatment as shameless tabloid-ism. Which, of course, it gleefully was. I used to love it when the Herald gave subjects the full Herald treatment, especially when they deserved it. …
Just pointing all this out as I eagerly await the start of the Pats season. … Btw: I view CRE seriously. I’ve long thought player weight limits, at least at the high-school and college levels, are part of the solution to head and other injuries. It’s all about the physics of two freakishly fast and large players slamming into each other. But coaches, athletic directors, league boosters, etc. routinely pooh-pooh the weight-limit idea, saying it would dilute the quality of the game. They’re wrong, but that’s their argument.
No, it’s not about the ‘ghosts of our Puritanical past.’ It’s about the very alive 160,000 college students in Boston. … The WSJ has more on Boston’s ‘notoriously strict’ alcohol laws when it comes to underage drinking. … And here we were hoping lawmakers might overlook occasional beer-pong mania and instead relax booze restrictions following the success of the World Cup. The WSJ piece is a reality-check that changes won’t come easy.
Want to politically stir things up in Massachusetts? Create really competitive races for a change? Throw out members of an ossified party that’s dominated Beacon Hill since Dwight Eisenhower was president in 1959? Break up partisan primaries’ near monopoly on who gets on election ballots? Then vote ‘yes’ on Question 3, the ballot measure that would replace the current party primary system in Massachusetts with a California-like ‘all-party primary’ system. … Another reason to vote ‘yes’ on Question 3? Nearly the entire political establishment in Massachusetts opposes the measure, as Commonwealth Beacon reports. Of course political parties and their factions are against eliminating party primaries. They’d lose their current monopoly over the election process if partisan primaries went away. …
Btw: I harped on this topic earlier this year. I’ll repeat: Open non-party primaries are not the cure-all, that’s for sure. But they’re a hell of a lot better than the current flawed system in which three out of five House and Senate races have only one candidate on the ballot.
Btw II: David D’Alessandro agrees the system needs a major shakeup (“Massachusetts has an aging problem. It’s called Beacon Hill” – Globe) but favors term limits to throw the 70-something rascals out. I like term limits too. But it’s an idea that’s been debated for years – and gone nowhere. Question 3 is right here, right now. …
Btw III: GBH’s Saraya Wintersmith recently talked with Danielle Allen, chair of the Coalition for Healthy Democracy, about why she backs Question 3.
Update – 8.24.26 – From MassLive: “Mass. voters like most ballot questions. Marijuana repeal? Not so much.” … Question 3 has only a slim majority of support, the same poll finds (scroll down). … Good to see the single-family zoning question doing well.
Update II – 8.24.26 – In a podcast, Commonwealth Beacon reviews the pluses and minuses of non-partisan primaries in California. … It’s definitely shaken things up, but it’s not as radical a change as one might think. One change I really like: it’s pushed candidates’ views to the center, not the extremes, as is the case in partisan primaries.