I have an article at Harvard Business School’s Working Knowledge on a new paper that argues election forecasts based on demographic voting trends are usually way off target. In fact, a forecaster would be better off flipping a coin to determine a winner. The HBS paper was written by Vincent Pons, Jesse Shapiro and Richard Calvo. … To Dems who think demographics are destiny: you’ve been warned. See my Friday post below on the same demographics subject.

Btw: I had another political-related piece at HBS Working Knowledge last week: “How politics drives business decisions in a polarized nation.”