Ruy Teixeira has a fascinating post on the Dems’ declining share of Hispanic votes, a trend borne out by numerous polls and past election data. The trend not only poses an immediate problem for Kamala Harris. It also challenges the very premise of the modern Democratic theory that demographics is destiny, i.e. that demographic changes, primarily the increase in the number of non-white citizens in the U.S., will relentlessly grow the Dem coalition into a majority party, as Teixeira writes.
Then there’s this: the shift in voting is “heavily concentrated among working-class (noncollege) Hispanics.” Sound familiar? Dems have a major working-class/non-college voter problem – and they’ve had it for a long time now.
